Catalyst calendar
What could move a market we follow next, one line per question (a 26-rung inflation ladder is one line). Times are Eastern.
Release and Decision: scheduled, from the primary-source calendars.Election and Deadline: the day the question is decided.Game: the contract is on that day’s result.Settles: the contract pays on that date.Closes: trading stops; the result comes later.Settling: past its end date, waiting on the venue.New: listed in the last three days.
Awaiting settlement
- SettlingWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia · ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2.1% · Polymarket
- SettlingWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election — 2 contracts settle · ended Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · Polymarket
Tue, Oct 27, 2026 · today
- GameNewCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage — 3 contracts · Polymarket
- GameNewCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage — 2 contracts · Polymarket
- GameNewCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage — Match Winner · 54.5% · Polymarket
- GameNewCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage — Match Winner · 43.5% · Polymarket
- SettlesNewBitcoin daily price odds — 79 contracts settle · KalshiBitcoin daily price odds
- SettlesNewBitcoin price on Oct 27, 2026 — 19 contracts settle · Kalshi
- SettlesNewEthereum daily price odds — 200 contracts settle · KalshiEthereum daily price odds
- SettlesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026 — 2 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27 — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27 — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
- DecisionFed decision odds — 5 contracts · KalshiFed decision odds
- DecisionFOMC decision and statement, 2:00pm ETFed decision odds
- ElectionWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election — 3 contracts · Polymarket
- ElectionWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election — 3 contracts · Polymarket
- SettlesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesNewWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 27 — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28 — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
- GameMilwaukee wins — 2 contracts · Kalshi
- SettlesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 settles · 93.5% · Polymarket
- SettlesMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31 settles · 13.5% · Polymarket
- SettlesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31 — 2 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series — 2 contracts settle · Polymarket
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
- SettlesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026 settles · 3.9% · Polymarket
- SettlesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31 settles · 0.5% · Polymarket
- SettlesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
- ElectionMidterm election daySenate control 2026
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
- ElectionHouse control 2026 — 2 contracts · PolymarketHouse control 2026
- ElectionSenate control 2026 — 2 contracts · PolymarketSenate control 2026
- ElectionUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms · 88.5% · Polymarket
- ElectionWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections — 2 contracts · Polymarket
- ElectionWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections — 2 contracts · Polymarket
- Settles2026 Balance of Power: Other — 3 contracts settle · Polymarket
- SettlesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026 settles · 74.5% · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026 — Susan Collins (R) settles · 38.5% · Polymarket
- SettlesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026 — 2 contracts settle · Polymarket
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
- ReleaseWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in October — 2 contracts · Kalshi
- SettlesJobs report odds — 13 contracts settle · KalshiJobs report odds
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
- SettlesWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026 settles · 4.8% · Polymarket